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Qual 222018 Midwest Regional
Red359
6803173.3
578162.5
3488128.0
Blue248
2338178.0
4702109.6
4292103.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712690100200300400500600359248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#11
173.31.2
167.8→169.0
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
blue by 4.7
2338
#4
178.01.1
164.5→165.6
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
Second
578
#2
162.52.1
147.2→149.3
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
red by 52.9
4702
#27
109.68.5
84.4→93.0
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
Third
3488
#25
128.08.3
102.1→110.4
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
red by 24.1
4292
#48
103.86.1
98.4→104.5
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed