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Qual 232018 Midwest Regional
Red549
341172.5
2039111.9
3695173.1
Blue193
4213168.9
6906105.4
2709114.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742610100200300500600549193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#13
173.10.2
164.1→164.3
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
red by 4.2
4213
#6
168.92.4
152.8→155.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
Second
341
#8
172.51.0
161.1→162.2
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
red by 58.3
2709
#53
114.28.1
92.8→101.0
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
Third
2039
#36
111.91.4
118.3→117.0
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
red by 6.6
6906
#49
105.45.7
85.6→91.3
Auto18.4
Teleop78.1
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed