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Qual 242018 Midwest Regional
Red292
5442153.7
6991130.1
2040149.4
Blue228
3734112.3
101138.2
3110101.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3572370100200300400500292228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#18
153.70.1
155.8→155.9
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
red by 15.4
101
#30
138.210.5
109.5→120.0
Auto17.7
Teleop103.2
End19.1
Second
2040
#5
149.40.4
141.3→141.8
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
red by 37.1
3734
#47
112.35.5
93.9→99.4
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
Third
6991
#22
130.11.2
120.4→121.6
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
red by 28.9
3110
#46
101.24.0
87.7→91.7
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed