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Qual 252018 Midwest Regional
Red284
2704131.7
2725109.5
2358122.4
Blue137
5350109.3
2905105.5
4787128.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304282100200400500284137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#39
131.71.3
125.3→126.6
Auto13.6
Teleop98.0
End20.4
red by 3.5
4787
#20
128.21.0
121.5→122.5
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
Second
2358
#28
122.40.6
130.9→131.5
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
red by 13.2
5350
#51
109.39.3
91.8→101.1
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
Third
2725
#34
109.58.4
88.3→96.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
red by 4.0
2905
#26
105.51.1
108.7→107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop78.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed