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Qual 272018 Midwest Regional
Red409
269172.3
1706173.5
6487122.0
Blue209
3067105.2
111168.4
4979124.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358258100200300400500409209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#7
173.51.8
151.1→152.9
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
red by 5.0
111
#9
168.42.0
160.5→162.5
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
Second
269
#3
172.32.8
150.9→153.7
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 48.3
4979
#33
124.05.2
97.6→102.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
Third
6487
#38
122.01.4
117.2→118.6
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
red by 16.8
3067
#44
105.27.8
91.7→99.5
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed