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Qual 282018 Midwest Regional
Red340
1781126.9
4096146.3
6906105.4
Blue178
6823148.8
2136103.6
7237101.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267290100150200350400450500340178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#19
146.30.2
141.0→141.3
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
blue by 2.5
6823
#21
148.80.5
145.8→146.3
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
Second
1781
#40
126.91.8
128.5→126.7
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
red by 23.2
2136
#23
103.62.1
93.8→95.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
Third
6906
#49
105.42.8
91.3→94.1
Auto18.4
Teleop78.1
End13.6
red by 4.2
7237
#41
101.13.3
95.2→98.4
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed