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Qual 322018 Midwest Regional
Red257
4979124.0
464589.9
5847135.9
Blue386
3110101.2
5013148.8
2725109.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1793210100400500600257386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#15
135.91.3
128.8→127.5
Auto20.1
Teleop109.6
End7.8
blue by 12.9
5013
#14
148.80.9
145.1→145.9
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Second
4979
#33
124.02.6
102.8→105.4
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
red by 14.5
2725
#34
109.54.0
96.7→100.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Third
4645
#52
89.90.9
89.5→88.6
Auto13.6
Teleop70.7
End8.1
blue by 11.3
3110
#46
101.22.3
91.7→94.0
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed