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Red471
6991130.1
16201.2
1706173.5
Blue115
5125101.7
6487122.0
2022117.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4121660100200300500471115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.21.5
187.9189.4
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 79.2
6487
#38
122.01.6
118.6120.2
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Second
173.52.0
152.9154.9
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
red by 55.8
2022
#24
117.70.6
115.5114.9
Auto15.3
Teleop92.4
End11.2
Third
6991
#22
130.10.8
121.6122.4
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
red by 28.4
5125
#43
101.73.0
95.098.0
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed