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Qual 372018 Midwest Regional
Red298
4292103.8
7237101.1
4241125.8
Blue39
3110101.2
5350109.3
5041111.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27025410020030040050029839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4241
#12
125.80.2
123.2→123.0
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
red by 13.9
5041
#42
111.90.1
110.8→110.9
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
Second
4292
#48
103.80.6
108.9→108.3
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
blue by 5.4
5350
#51
109.32.5
105.5→108.0
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
Third
7237
#41
101.11.7
98.4→100.1
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
blue by 0.1
3110
#46
101.23.8
94.0→97.9
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed