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Qual 382018 Midwest Regional
Red433
2022117.7
2709114.2
2338178.0
Blue205
5442153.7
2136103.6
464589.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392300100200300400500600433205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#4
178.01.1
166.6→167.7
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
red by 24.4
5442
#18
153.70.6
155.8→156.4
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
Second
2022
#24
117.70.6
114.9→114.2
Auto15.3
Teleop92.4
End11.2
red by 14.1
2136
#23
103.60.9
95.9→96.8
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
Third
2709
#53
114.20.1
105.4→105.2
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
red by 24.3
4645
#52
89.90.2
88.6→88.9
Auto13.6
Teleop70.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed