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Red403
3488128.0
4213168.9
4787128.2
Blue149
3067105.2
3352100.5
677134.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792020100300500600403149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.91.9
156.8158.7
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
red by 34.4
677
#31
134.50.4
136.4136.0
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
Second
4787
#20
128.20.1
122.7122.8
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
red by 23.0
3067
#44
105.21.6
103.7105.3
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
Third
3488
#25
128.04.6
116.0120.6
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
red by 27.4
3352
#45
100.52.6
105.6103.0
Auto16.0
Teleop76.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed