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Qual 412018 Midwest Regional
Red309
4979124.0
2040149.4
6823148.8
Blue134
2039111.9
1511161.9
2358122.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321321150250300309134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#5
149.40.3
142.0→142.3
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
blue by 12.5
1511
#17
161.91.1
166.8→165.8
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
Second
6823
#21
148.80.2
146.3→146.5
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
red by 26.4
2358
#28
122.41.2
131.3→130.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
Third
4979
#33
124.04.4
105.4→109.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
red by 12.1
2039
#36
111.90.6
116.6→116.1
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed