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Qual 422018 Midwest Regional
Red404
6421126.2
2725109.5
6803173.3
Blue295
6991130.1
6487122.0
3695173.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143000100200400500600404295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#11
173.30.3
169.9→170.3
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
red by 0.2
3695
#13
173.10.7
165.3→166.0
Auto20.5
Teleop126.4
End27.4
Second
6421
#35
126.20.3
128.9→129.2
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End11.3
blue by 3.9
6991
#22
130.11.6
122.4→124.0
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Third
2725
#34
109.55.0
100.7→105.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
blue by 12.5
6487
#38
122.01.1
120.2→121.3
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed