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Qual 432018 Midwest Regional
Red122
5013148.8
426997.1
4702109.6
Blue431
269172.3
3734112.3
4096146.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256329100200300400500122431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#14
148.81.6
145.9→147.5
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
blue by 23.5
269
#3
172.32.3
156.5→158.8
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
4702
#27
109.65.0
99.0→104.0
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
blue by 36.7
4096
#19
146.31.1
141.3→142.4
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
Third
4269
#50
97.11.3
101.7→100.5
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
blue by 15.2
3734
#47
112.30.9
102.7→101.8
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed