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Red391
2358122.4
341172.5
2136103.6
Blue275
464589.9
2704131.7
3110101.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3751890100300500600391275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#8
172.52.5
165.8168.4
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
red by 40.8
2704
#39
131.71.1
127.3128.4
Auto13.6
Teleop98.0
End20.4
Second
2358
#28
122.42.1
130.1128.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
red by 21.2
3110
#46
101.20.6
97.997.3
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
Third
2136
#23
103.60.9
96.897.7
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
red by 13.7
4645
#52
89.90.3
88.989.2
Auto13.6
Teleop70.7
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed