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Qual 472018 Midwest Regional
Red158
2725109.5
4292103.8
5125101.7
Blue312
2709114.2
2040149.4
2039111.9
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263277150200300350400158312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2725
#34
109.54.4
105.6→110.0
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
blue by 39.9
2040
#5
149.40.5
142.3→142.7
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
Second
4292
#48
103.81.6
108.3→109.8
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
blue by 10.4
2709
#53
114.22.9
105.2→108.1
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End12.1
Third
5125
#43
101.71.5
99.7→101.2
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
blue by 10.3
2039
#36
111.91.6
116.1→114.5
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed