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Qual 482018 Midwest Regional
Red314
1511161.9
4702109.6
4241125.8
Blue233
6991130.1
677134.5
2022117.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291289240260280300320340314233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#17
161.92.0
165.8→163.7
Auto26.7
Teleop114.0
End21.1
red by 27.4
677
#31
134.50.5
136.0→135.6
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
Second
4241
#12
125.80.6
123.0→123.6
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
blue by 4.3
6991
#22
130.11.5
124.0→125.5
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Third
4702
#27
109.61.3
104.0→105.3
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
blue by 8.1
2022
#24
117.70.6
114.2→114.8
Auto15.3
Teleop92.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed