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Qual 62018 Midwest Regional
Red352
2010114.4
1706173.5
5822140.0
Blue419
5442153.7
2338178.0
4241125.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863500100200400500600352419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
#7
173.51.7
147.1→148.8
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
blue by 4.5
2338
#4
178.00.5
164.9→164.4
Auto25.3
Teleop122.7
End29.8
Second
5822
#29
140.01.0
129.4→130.4
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End15.7
blue by 13.7
5442
#18
153.70.7
156.6→155.9
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
Third
2010
#32
114.40.6
113.9→113.3
Auto17.9
Teleop84.0
End12.8
blue by 11.4
4241
#12
125.81.0
124.9→123.9
Auto16.2
Teleop98.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned