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Qual 72018 Midwest Regional
Red329
4787128.2
3061131.0
2040149.4
Blue308
5041111.9
341172.5
5013148.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713520100200300400500600329308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2040
#5
149.40.8
139.1→140.0
Auto20.3
Teleop111.5
End20.3
blue by 23.1
341
#8
172.51.0
159.2→160.2
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
3061
#37
131.02.3
141.2→138.9
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
blue by 17.8
5013
#14
148.80.5
145.0→144.6
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
Third
4787
#20
128.20.1
120.7→120.8
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
red by 16.3
5041
#42
111.91.3
107.4→108.7
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed