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Qual 82018 Midwest Regional
Red404
5350109.3
2358122.4
4213168.9
Blue152
1781126.9
6487122.0
2905105.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319261100200400500600404152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#6
168.91.8
148.4→150.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
red by 42.0
1781
#40
126.90.0
130.3→130.3
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
Second
2358
#28
122.40.7
131.0→130.3
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
red by 0.5
6487
#38
122.01.8
114.6→116.4
Auto16.9
Teleop91.3
End14.3
Third
5350
#51
109.317.7
59.3→77.0
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
red by 3.8
2905
#26
105.51.4
111.7→110.3
Auto15.2
Teleop78.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed