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Qual 92018 Midwest Regional
Red477
111168.4
3488128.0
16201.2
Blue58
5934126.0
6803173.3
4979124.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374285010020040050047758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.21.6
182.0→183.6
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 27.9
6803
#11
173.33.8
163.8→167.6
Auto20.2
Teleop130.1
End21.5
Second
111
#9
168.41.9
156.1→158.0
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
red by 42.4
5934
#16
126.016.8
67.1→83.9
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
Third
3488
#25
128.016.2
72.7→88.9
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
red by 4.0
4979
#33
124.015.9
75.9→91.7
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed