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Qual 612018 Midwest Regional
Red264
2136103.6
5125101.7
269172.3
Blue189
3061131.0
3488128.0
6421126.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453240100200400500600264189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#3
172.32.1
161.6→163.7
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 41.2
3061
#37
131.00.3
135.1→134.8
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
Second
2136
#23
103.61.4
97.7→99.1
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
blue by 24.3
3488
#25
128.03.0
125.0→128.0
Auto15.2
Teleop99.5
End16.9
Third
5125
#43
101.71.4
101.2→99.7
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
blue by 24.5
6421
#35
126.20.3
129.8→129.5
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed