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Red318
426997.1
2010114.4
16201.2
Blue327
4702109.6
578162.5
341172.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271372100200500600700318327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
201.21.1
194.3195.4
Auto26.6
Teleop141.5
End32.1
red by 28.7
341
#8
172.52.3
168.4170.7
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
2010
#32
114.40.2
112.5112.3
Auto17.9
Teleop84.0
End12.8
blue by 48.1
578
#2
162.51.3
154.0155.3
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
Third
4269
#50
97.11.3
98.897.5
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
blue by 12.5
4702
#27
109.61.7
105.3107.0
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed