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Red280
5350109.3
3352100.5
5934126.0
Blue351
2039111.9
6823148.8
1706173.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1763910100300500600280351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#16
126.02.2
113.6115.8
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
blue by 47.4
173.52.3
162.2164.5
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
Second
5350
#51
109.30.6
103.9104.5
Auto14.8
Teleop84.9
End13.7
blue by 39.6
6823
#21
148.80.7
147.2147.9
Auto17.9
Teleop115.5
End14.0
Third
3352
#45
100.50.5
100.299.6
Auto16.0
Teleop76.3
End9.4
blue by 11.4
2039
#36
111.90.6
113.6113.1
Auto16.8
Teleop83.8
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed