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Qual 662018 Midwest Regional
Red256
2358122.4
1781126.9
4292103.8
Blue118
215180.6
3061131.0
6991130.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273270150200250300350256118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#40
126.90.0
125.2→125.2
Auto16.9
Teleop95.3
End14.0
blue by 4.2
3061
#37
131.01.2
134.8→133.6
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
Second
2358
#28
122.41.6
126.5→124.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
blue by 7.7
6991
#22
130.11.6
126.7→128.4
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Third
4292
#48
103.82.2
108.5→106.3
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
red by 23.3
2151
#54
80.63.4
86.8→83.4
Auto13.1
Teleop66.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed