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Qual 752018 Midwest Regional
Red266
2136103.6
3110101.2
5934126.0
Blue477
677134.5
2905105.5
2010114.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275272100150200250300350400450266477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#16
126.03.9
115.8→119.7
Auto16.8
Teleop95.5
End15.7
blue by 8.5
677
#31
134.50.8
134.5→133.7
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
Second
2136
#23
103.60.9
101.2→102.1
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End14.9
blue by 10.8
2010
#32
114.40.1
112.3→112.2
Auto17.9
Teleop84.0
End12.8
Third
3110
#46
101.21.3
98.1→99.4
Auto14.6
Teleop78.5
End11.9
blue by 4.3
2905
#26
105.50.7
105.4→104.6
Auto15.2
Teleop78.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned