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Qual 762018 Midwest Regional
Red377
6421126.2
426997.1
5041111.9
Blue93
2725109.5
6906105.4
3067105.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25024410015020030035040037793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#35
126.22.0
128.3→126.4
Auto17.4
Teleop97.0
End11.3
red by 16.7
2725
#34
109.50.1
110.8→110.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.8
End9.7
Second
5041
#42
111.90.1
110.3→110.4
Auto15.9
Teleop83.9
End14.1
red by 6.5
6906
#49
105.40.6
105.5→106.1
Auto18.4
Teleop78.1
End13.6
Third
4269
#50
97.10.5
96.6→96.1
Auto11.5
Teleop76.8
End9.1
blue by 8.1
3067
#44
105.21.3
108.4→107.1
Auto14.5
Teleop83.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed