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Qual 792018 Midwest Regional
Red268
4096146.3
4979124.0
5442153.7
Blue329
5125101.7
578162.5
6991130.1
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360302100200400500600268329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#18
153.70.7
156.6→156.0
Auto21.1
Teleop107.7
End22.2
blue by 8.9
578
#2
162.51.4
156.1→157.5
Auto19.8
Teleop122.6
End19.4
Second
4096
#19
146.30.7
145.5→146.2
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
red by 16.2
6991
#22
130.10.8
128.4→129.2
Auto16.8
Teleop102.7
End11.4
Third
4979
#33
124.03.5
119.9→123.4
Auto17.5
Teleop92.2
End15.4
red by 22.3
5125
#43
101.70.7
100.1→100.8
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed