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Red116
4292103.8
464589.9
3734112.3
Blue423
4787128.2
269172.3
111168.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1374420100200300400500600700116423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3734
#47
112.31.7
109.1110.8
Auto13.7
Teleop88.9
End11.3
blue by 60.0
269
#3
172.32.0
165.9167.8
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
Second
4292
#48
103.81.7
106.3104.5
Auto17.3
Teleop77.8
End7.6
blue by 64.6
111
#9
168.40.4
166.1166.4
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
Third
4645
#52
89.90.4
90.490.0
Auto13.6
Teleop70.7
End8.1
blue by 38.3
4787
#20
128.21.2
125.7126.9
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed