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Red262
101138.2
4702109.6
3061131.0
Blue463
7237101.1
4213168.9
1706173.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373750100200300500600262463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101
#30
138.22.3
134.4136.8
Auto17.7
Teleop103.2
End19.1
blue by 35.3
173.52.0
164.5166.6
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
Second
3061
#37
131.01.4
133.6132.2
Auto19.2
Teleop98.3
End10.4
blue by 37.9
168.91.8
163.5165.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.4
End24.6
Third
4702
#27
109.61.4
107.5108.9
Auto15.3
Teleop82.8
End11.8
red by 8.5
7237
#41
101.10.4
101.0100.7
Auto14.1
Teleop79.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed