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Red444
1706173.5
4096146.3
111168.4
Blue108
2358122.4
4787128.2
215180.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4291540100200300500600700444108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.52.0
166.6168.6
Auto23.6
Teleop133.0
End16.3
red by 45.3
4787
#20
128.21.3
126.9128.2
Auto15.7
Teleop97.0
End18.1
Second
111
#9
168.40.6
166.4167.1
Auto19.3
Teleop130.9
End17.0
red by 46.0
2358
#28
122.41.1
123.5122.4
Auto18.3
Teleop96.4
End4.1
Third
4096
#19
146.30.3
146.2145.9
Auto16.7
Teleop109.3
End17.8
red by 65.8
2151
#54
80.60.0
80.680.6
Auto13.1
Teleop66.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed