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Qual 902018 Midwest Regional
Red437
269172.3
5013148.8
677134.5
Blue101
5125101.7
341172.5
101138.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712930100200400500600437101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
269
#3
172.31.9
167.8→169.7
Auto21.3
Teleop128.9
End22.3
blue by 0.2
341
#8
172.50.7
172.4→173.1
Auto22.2
Teleop126.9
End25.9
Second
5013
#14
148.80.4
148.8→148.4
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
red by 10.6
101
#30
138.21.4
136.8→138.2
Auto17.7
Teleop103.2
End19.1
Third
677
#31
134.50.8
133.7→134.5
Auto20.2
Teleop96.9
End20.7
red by 32.8
5125
#43
101.70.9
100.8→101.7
Auto15.5
Teleop75.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed