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Red316
2220150.6
5442156.6
2358131.0
Blue294
2338164.9
2081156.1
2704122.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273460100200400500600700800316294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.60.2
157.2157.0
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 8.3
164.90.2
165.7165.5
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
150.60.1
150.4150.5
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 5.4
156.10.2
155.4155.6
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
2358
#27
131.00.1
131.5131.4
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 8.5
2704
#33
122.50.6
120.0120.6
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8