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Semifinal 1-22018 Central Illinois Regional
Red448
2481198.7
1756178.7
464590.5
Blue264
2338164.9
2081156.1
2704122.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379279100200500600448264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#3
198.70.3
197.8→198.1
Auto23.9
Teleop153.9
End20.4
red by 33.7
2338
#9
164.90.2
165.1→164.9
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
1756
#1
178.70.5
177.1→177.6
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
red by 22.6
2081
#7
156.10.0
156.0→156.1
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
4645
#35
90.50.3
91.3→91.0
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
blue by 32.0
2704
#33
122.50.4
122.1→122.5
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8