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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Central Illinois Regional
Red290
2220150.6
5442156.6
2358131.0
Blue465
2338164.9
2081156.1
2704122.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336334250300350400450290465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#5
156.60.2
157.0→156.8
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 8.3
2338
#9
164.90.2
165.5→165.3
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
2220
#8
150.60.1
150.5→150.6
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 5.4
2081
#7
156.10.1
155.6→155.7
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
2358
#27
131.00.2
131.4→131.2
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 8.5
2704
#33
122.50.5
120.6→121.1
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8