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Red229
2826159.9
3695161.3
4096140.4
Blue430
1736167.1
4143158.1
4356128.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363346250300400450500229430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.30.6
159.4160.0
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
blue by 5.8
1736
#13
167.10.7
165.8166.4
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
Second
159.90.1
159.8159.9
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 1.8
158.10.0
158.0158.0
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Third
4096
#25
140.40.0
140.6140.6
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
red by 12.3
4356
#17
128.20.2
127.7127.9
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1