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Red214
2220150.6
5442156.6
2358131.0
Blue329
2338164.9
2081156.1
2704122.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253450100200400500600700800214329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.60.2
156.8156.6
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
blue by 8.3
164.90.1
165.3165.2
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
150.60.1
150.6150.6
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 5.4
156.10.2
155.7155.8
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
2358
#27
131.00.2
131.2131.0
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
red by 8.5
2704
#33
122.50.5
121.1121.6
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8