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Semifinal 2-32018 Central Illinois Regional
Red373
2826159.9
3695161.3
4096140.4
Blue236
1736167.1
4143158.1
4356128.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355349250300400450500373236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#2
161.30.4
160.0→160.5
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
blue by 5.8
1736
#13
167.10.7
166.4→167.1
Auto25.3
Teleop120.6
End22.4
Second
2826
#6
159.90.0
159.9→159.9
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 1.8
4143
#4
158.10.0
158.0→158.1
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
Third
4096
#25
140.40.1
140.6→140.5
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
red by 12.3
4356
#17
128.20.2
127.9→128.2
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1