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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Central Illinois Regional
Red392
2826159.9
3695161.3
4096140.4
Blue304
4296123.0
5847131.7
2169138.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393271100200500600700392304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#2
161.30.6
157.5→158.1
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
red by 22.8
2169
#15
138.60.3
137.8→138.2
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
Second
2826
#6
159.90.0
159.6→159.6
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 28.2
5847
#11
131.70.3
132.3→132.0
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
Third
4096
#25
140.40.1
140.7→140.6
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
red by 17.4
4296
#31
123.00.4
122.1→122.6
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8