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Red245
2704122.5
4764103.2
5442156.6
Blue242
4356128.2
2358131.0
4156106.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315242100200400500245242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.610.7
109.4120.0
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End24.6
red by 25.6
2358
#27
131.07.4
90.397.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
Second
2704
#33
122.510.1
86.096.1
Auto12.7
Teleop90.1
End21.8
blue by 5.7
4356
#17
128.21.9
118.5120.4
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
Third
4764
#32
103.212.4
77.790.1
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 3.5
4156
#34
106.77.4
84.191.4
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed