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Qual 112018 Central Illinois Regional
Red368
2220150.6
6874126.5
2040139.1
Blue298
3352115.6
2081156.1
2338164.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803200100200400500600700368298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#8
150.63.0
134.0→137.0
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
blue by 14.3
2338
#9
164.99.8
116.8→126.5
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
Second
2040
#18
139.111.2
98.3→109.5
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
blue by 16.9
2081
#7
156.11.7
151.0→149.3
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
Third
6874
#26
126.511.4
77.7→89.2
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
red by 10.9
3352
#37
115.610.0
94.6→104.6
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed