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Red287
4096140.4
648138.0
2826159.9
Blue261
4213148.4
1329130.2
5822129.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332278100200400500600287261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.910.3
114.8125.0
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
red by 11.5
4213
#12
148.410.7
109.0119.7
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End23.4
Second
4096
#25
140.48.7
103.1111.9
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
red by 10.3
1329
#28
130.21.9
117.0118.9
Auto17.6
Teleop98.2
End15.8
Third
648
#16
138.012.8
94.3107.1
Auto16.4
Teleop107.8
End13.9
red by 8.5
5822
#10
129.49.1
95.8104.9
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed