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Red304
4330126.1
6237130.3
4314122.8
Blue194
4296123.0
8186.3
4655155.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2583110100200400500600304194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6237
#29
130.311.7
96.3108.0
Auto14.8
Teleop104.4
End12.9
blue by 25.3
4655
#14
155.612.6
110.3122.9
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
Second
4330
#19
126.10.8
117.1117.9
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
red by 3.1
4296
#31
123.08.7
93.8102.5
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
Third
4314
#20
122.811.5
76.988.4
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
red by 36.5
81
#36
86.310.6
81.091.6
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed