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Red336
4213148.4
3352115.6
648138.0
Blue249
4330126.1
4096140.4
6874126.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330267100200400500600700336249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#12
148.47.4
119.7127.1
Auto19.7
Teleop108.5
End23.4
red by 8.0
4096
#25
140.45.4
111.9117.3
Auto16.6
Teleop100.9
End22.4
Second
648
#16
138.08.2
107.1115.3
Auto16.4
Teleop107.8
End13.9
red by 11.4
6874
#26
126.511.1
89.2100.3
Auto15.0
Teleop99.4
End13.0
Third
3352
#37
115.67.7
104.6112.3
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
blue by 10.5
4330
#19
126.10.4
117.9118.3
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed