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Red81
8186.3
4156106.7
6651113.3
Blue440
2481198.7
2826159.9
4241124.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173401010030050060070081440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6651
#24
113.37.0
110.5117.5
Auto15.4
Teleop90.4
End6.9
blue by 85.4
198.70.7
179.0179.7
Auto23.9
Teleop153.9
End20.4
Second
4156
#34
106.75.9
91.497.4
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
blue by 53.2
159.96.5
125.0131.5
Auto17.0
Teleop118.4
End21.8
Third
81
#36
86.36.0
91.697.6
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
blue by 38.6
4241
#30
124.910.3
101.7112.0
Auto14.7
Teleop98.0
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed