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Qual 162018 Central Illinois Regional
Red374
2040139.1
3695161.3
5847131.7
Blue276
2358131.0
464590.5
4764103.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392270100200300400500600374276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#2
161.38.7
109.0→117.7
Auto17.0
Teleop118.8
End25.8
red by 30.3
2358
#27
131.06.0
97.7→103.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.3
End12.0
Second
2040
#18
139.111.0
109.5→120.5
Auto17.2
Teleop103.1
End18.6
red by 36.0
4764
#32
103.28.1
90.1→98.2
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Third
5847
#11
131.74.9
110.2→115.1
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
red by 41.2
4645
#35
90.55.4
94.3→99.7
Auto11.8
Teleop73.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed