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Red398
4256128.3
5822129.4
2081156.1
Blue196
4314122.8
4356128.2
4655155.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299303200250350400450398196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.10.8
149.3148.5
Auto21.5
Teleop121.9
End14.2
red by 0.5
4655
#14
155.67.2
122.9130.1
Auto20.0
Teleop116.2
End18.4
Second
5822
#10
129.46.3
104.9111.2
Auto19.7
Teleop99.6
End10.6
red by 1.3
4356
#17
128.21.8
120.4122.1
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
Third
4256
#23
128.31.0
122.6121.6
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End14.2
red by 5.5
4314
#20
122.87.4
88.495.9
Auto16.2
Teleop94.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed