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Qual 192018 Central Illinois Regional
Red235
4296123.0
4212126.1
4143158.1
Blue405
5847131.7
4330126.1
1756178.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326301100200400500600235405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#4
158.11.5
150.9→152.4
Auto22.2
Teleop122.5
End12.0
blue by 20.6
1756
#1
178.710.3
127.6→137.9
Auto24.6
Teleop122.8
End32.3
Second
4212
#21
126.18.2
106.4→114.6
Auto19.4
Teleop89.9
End18.1
blue by 5.7
5847
#11
131.74.4
115.1→119.5
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
Third
4296
#31
123.05.2
107.2→112.4
Auto17.1
Teleop90.9
End17.8
blue by 3.1
4330
#19
126.10.5
118.3→118.8
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed