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Red132
4156106.7
2169138.6
3352115.6
Blue241
4764103.2
4241124.9
2220150.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271343100200300400500600132241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#15
138.66.8
132.0138.8
Auto17.4
Teleop108.2
End14.5
blue by 12.1
150.62.9
140.6143.5
Auto24.5
Teleop113.8
End11.9
Second
3352
#37
115.65.9
112.3118.3
Auto15.1
Teleop88.9
End10.9
blue by 9.3
4241
#30
124.98.7
112.0120.7
Auto14.7
Teleop98.0
End11.5
Third
4156
#34
106.72.6
97.4100.0
Auto14.8
Teleop76.4
End17.6
red by 3.5
4764
#32
103.26.5
98.2104.7
Auto15.1
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed