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Red385
4330126.1
4256128.3
2338164.9
Blue186
6237130.3
5847131.7
8186.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308299200250350400385186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.95.8
138.9144.7
Auto22.4
Teleop117.2
End24.4
red by 33.2
5847
#11
131.75.3
119.5124.8
Auto19.0
Teleop104.4
End5.0
Second
4256
#23
128.30.5
121.5121.0
Auto15.0
Teleop98.7
End14.2
blue by 2.0
6237
#29
130.32.9
122.4125.3
Auto14.8
Teleop104.4
End12.9
Third
4330
#19
126.11.2
118.8120.0
Auto17.8
Teleop89.2
End20.8
red by 39.9
81
#36
86.33.5
100.1103.6
Auto11.5
Teleop70.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed